Research
Research briefings and notable developments on the Spring Revolution and federal union-building
A House Built on Sand – The Junta's Election Plan
Gerrymandering means grouping or spreading out areas of assured support so that the outcome a party needs can be shaped as desired. For the junta, it has already created conditions in which only its backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) and a few supporting parties can contest and win, having dissolved major parties such as the National League for Democracy (NLD) and the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy (SNLD) amid a broad political boycott. In that situation, it needs to create the appearance that the election can be held widely.
Mandalay Region Interim Political Arrangement
The "Mandalay Region Interim Political Arrangement" (draft) has been written with 12 chapters and will soon be adopted. The draft has been officially released so that revolutionary political forces across the country, including Mandalay revolutionary forces and the public, can review it and send suggestions, and it is being further revised based on the suggestions received. Chapters 1 to 3 of the draft cover objectives, values and basic principles, and Chapter 4 covers fundamental rights, entitlements and duties. Chapters 5 to 10 cover the structure of the Mandalay region and its legislative, executive and judicial branches, Chapter 11 covers amendment of the arrangement, and Chapter 12 contains general provisions.
Introducing the Arrangement for Transitional Constitution (AFTA)
As the Spring Revolution has championed "ending military dictatorship and building a federal democratic union", discussions on the constitution have been taking place since February 2021. Revolutionary forces have rejected and opposed the 2008 Constitution, controversially adopted under military dictatorship, and revolutionary organizations have declared it void. During the revolution, Parts 1 and 2 of the Federal Democracy Charter have been issued and used as a constitutional framework. The roadmap set out in the charter also includes, as one of its stages, drafting a constitution for the post-revolutionary transition period during the revolution itself.
A Look Back at 2024
The year 2024 has been a year marked by military victories. The military regime lost two of its 14 regional military commands and suffered heavy losses along the border. and faced significant military threats in the central region. The military has used the punishment for the military victories of the revolutionary forces as a common tactic, they have continued to target civilians without distinguishing between civilians and militants.
2024 in Review – A Deepening Public Crisis
The terrorist military that illegally seized power on February 1, 2021, suffered losses on all fronts in 2024. Besides faring poorly in politics and international diplomacy, it suffered many military defeats. Military defeat became the junta's worst blow: the fall of two regional military command headquarters, in Lashio in Shan State and Ann in Rakhine State, and the capture of more than 90 towns by revolutionary forces caused many divisions even among junta supporters. At the same time, repression of the public increased and the socio-economic impact grew larger.
A Look Back at 2024 - Reflections Following Military Victories
It was a year that continued to see the administrative structure behind military victories. The administrative structures have become stronger, especially in the non-central regions. The Karenni State Interim Executive Council was an example, and the administrative structures of the Ta’ang region are also beginning to be seen. Some changes have begun in Kachin and Kawthoolei, where the traditional administrative structures have been in place. The examples of how public participation has shaped Kawthoolei’s administration, and the public debate has developed.
A look back at 2024 - The Increasingly Visible Interventions of Neighboring Countries
During 2024, the interventions of neighboring countries became more visible. China’s intervention in particular has become more visible during 2024. By the end of 2024, the movements of Thailand and India were also becoming visible.
A Look Back at 2024 - Triumphs of the Revolutionary War
With the 1027 operation, the Arakan Army (AA) began a series of offensives that included sieges of military bases and towns. On February 24, 2024, Buthidaung was attacked, and completely captured on May 18.
The fake "politics" of the military regime
The terrorist military junta issued a statement on September 26 offering the Ethnic Resistance Organizations (EROs) and the People's Defense Forces (PDFs) to solve political problems politically. This is the second such offer since the terrorist coup d'état on February 1, 2021, and the first being made in April 2022 by the leader of the terrorist junta, himself on television. The difference is that the offer was made this time when military camps and military headquarters of the military regime including the cities were being surrendered because of the operations of EROs and PDF.
Typhoon Ragi: Unveils the True Nature of the Military Junta
The flash floods in Myanmar caused by Typhoon Ragi, which hit the South China Sea, had a great impact on the people in the country. There had been criticism that the flood was caused by a terrorist military junta breaking the dams under their control without informing the public and the lack of weather reporting.
What happen in Buthidaung?
Since November 13, 2023, repeated clashes between the Arakan Army (AA) and the terrorist military junta have occurred in Rakhine State. During the battles, AA had occupied up to ten townships including Buthidaung, Pauktaw, Minbya, Mrauk U, Kyauktaw, Ponnagyun, Rathedaung, Myebon, Ramree, and even Paletwa township in Chin State, and the fightings also continued in the rest of the townships in the state.
The background of the formation of the Chin State Council
During the Spring Revolution, the Chin National Front (CNF), Political parties and parliamentarians who won the 2020 election and opposed the military group, CDM staff, strikes, civil society organizations, youth and women established the Interim Chin National Consultative Council (ICNCC) to manage political activities on behalf of the Chin country and the Chin people. It was formed on April 13, 2021 . ICNCC annoused that it will organize the Chin state government, and handle the legislative issues, administrative issues and judiciary issues. It is also a member organization of the National Unity Consultative Council (NUCC).
KTLA, the Kawthoolei Government Declaration, and Kawthoolei Administration
The formation of the Kawthoolei Government, led as president by Brigadier General Saw Nerdah Bo Mya, who founded the Kawthoolei Army (KTLA) that emerged as a new Karen armed organization during the Spring Revolution, was announced in a statement dated November 13, 2023.
Interim Constitutions and Arrangements of Federal Units: Preparatory Laws and Responses
2023 On November 17, Sagaing MPs from Magway and Tanintharyi convened their respective parliamentary sessions and approved the Interim Constitution/Planning Preparatory Laws.
